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The Publication
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
NOVEMBER 2005 KEY POINTS
Trend
The November 2005 trend estimate (81,191) for total sales of new motor vehicles decreased 0.5% compared with the October 2005 estimate. This is the ninth consecutive month in which the trend estimate has recorded a decrease. Since November 2004, the trend estimate has decreased 0.6%.
Decreases were recorded in November 2005 compared with October 2005 for the trend estimate of sales of passenger vehicles (0.6%), sports utility vehicles (0.7%) and other vehicles (0.3%). Compared with November 2004, increases were recorded for sales of passenger vehicles (0.1%) and other vehicles (2.6%), while sales of sports utility vehicles showed a decrease of 6.4%.
Most states and territories recorded decreases in the trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles in November 2005 compared with October 2005, with the Northern Territory (2.8%) recording the largest decrease. Western Australia (1.1%) and South Australia (0.3%) were the only two states to record increases over this time.
When compared with November 2004, half of the states and territories recorded decreases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles. Tasmania recorded the largest decrease (8.1%) while Western Australia recorded the largest increase (12.1%).
Seasonally adjusted
The November 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate (80,711) for total sales of new motor vehicles increased 2.2% compared with the October 2005 estimate.
Increases were recorded in seasonally adjusted estimates for passenger vehicles (3.1%) and other vehicles (1.6%) in November 2005 compared with October 2005, while sports utility vehicles recorded a decrease of 0.2%.
When the seasonally adjusted estimates for November 2005 were compared with October 2005, five states and territories recorded increases with New South Wales (4.1%) recording the largest increase. Tasmania (9.8%), Queensland (0.4%) and the Northern Territory (0.1%) recorded decreases.
Sales of new motor vehicles, November 2005
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle sales
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Seasonally adjusted | 24,354 | 21,309 | 17,407 | 5,327 | 8,907 | 1,453 | 723 | 1,231 | 80,711 |
Trend | 24,508 | 21,226 | 17,653 | 5,276 | 8,937 | 1,591 | 750 | 1,250 | 81,191 |
Percentage change from previous month
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Seasonally adjusted | 4.1 | 2.9 | -0.4 | 1.7 | 3.1 | -9.8 | -0.1 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
Trend | -1.0 | -0.3 | -1.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | -2.5 | -2.8 | -1.2 | -0.5 |
Percentage change from previous year
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Seasonally adjusted | -5.3 | -1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 10.4 | -14.3 | -0.3 | -2.1 | -1.0 |
Trend | -5.2 | -0.8 | 1.7 | -2.0 | 12.1 | -8.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | -0.6 |
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(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE | |
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December 2005 | 24 January 2006 | |
January 2006 | 21 February 2006 | |
February 2006 | 22 March 2006 | |
March 2006 | 24 April 2006 | |
April 2006 | 22 May 2006 | |
May 2006 | 22 June 2006 | |
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TREND REVISIONS
Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.
1 | The December 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the November 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%. |
2 | The December 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the November 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%. |
The percentage change of 3.6% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.6%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
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| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) | | |
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Original | | |
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2004 | September | 49,911 | 14,715 | 15,826 | 80,452 | 2.6 | -1.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 | | |
| October | 52,290 | 13,907 | 15,470 | 81,667 | 4.8 | -5.5 | -2.2 | 1.5 | | |
| November | 52,888 | 15,257 | 16,190 | 84,335 | 1.1 | 9.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 | | |
| December | 48,673 | 14,311 | 15,996 | 78,980 | -8.0 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -6.3 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 43,075 | 13,826 | 12,664 | 69,565 | -11.5 | -3.4 | -20.8 | -11.9 | | |
| February | 50,645 | 15,478 | 14,886 | 81,009 | 17.6 | 11.9 | 17.5 | 16.5 | | |
| March | 53,280 | 17,348 | 15,798 | 86,426 | 5.2 | 12.1 | 6.1 | 6.7 | | |
| April | 46,645 | 13,749 | 15,936 | 76,330 | -12.5 | -20.7 | 0.9 | -11.7 | | |
| May | 50,420 | 15,329 | 17,981 | 83,730 | 8.1 | 11.5 | 12.8 | 9.7 | | |
| June | 60,720 | 18,229 | 22,958 | 101,907 | 20.4 | 18.9 | 27.7 | 21.7 | | |
| July | 48,931 | 13,716 | 15,652 | 78,299 | -19.4 | -24.8 | -31.8 | -23.2 | | |
| August | 53,650 | 15,173 | 17,356 | 86,179 | 9.6 | 10.6 | 10.9 | 10.1 | | |
| September | 52,118 | 15,080 | 17,242 | 84,440 | -2.9 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -2.0 | | |
| October | 48,434 | 12,503 | 15,181 | 76,118 | -7.1 | -17.1 | -12.0 | -9.9 | | |
| November | 52,751 | 14,252 | 16,535 | 83,538 | 8.9 | 14.0 | 8.9 | 9.7 | | |
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Seasonally adjusted | | |
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2004 | September | 49,353 | 15,144 | 16,021 | 80,518 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | | |
| October | 52,378 | 15,622 | 16,641 | 84,641 | 6.1 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 5.1 | | |
| November | 50,530 | 15,142 | 15,857 | 81,529 | -3.5 | -3.1 | -4.7 | -3.7 | | |
| December | 47,463 | 14,302 | 16,070 | 77,835 | -6.1 | -5.5 | 1.3 | -4.5 | | |
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2005 | January | 52,784 | 16,010 | 17,147 | 85,941 | 11.2 | 11.9 | 6.7 | 10.4 | | |
| February | 52,896 | 16,195 | 16,079 | 85,170 | 0.2 | 1.2 | -6.2 | -0.9 | | |
| March | 50,111 | 15,846 | 15,640 | 81,597 | -5.3 | -2.2 | -2.7 | -4.2 | | |
| April | 51,127 | 14,969 | 16,820 | 82,916 | 2.0 | -5.5 | 7.5 | 1.6 | | |
| May | 51,086 | 14,529 | 16,605 | 82,220 | -0.1 | -2.9 | -1.3 | -0.8 | | |
| June | 50,874 | 14,284 | 16,589 | 81,747 | -0.4 | -1.7 | -0.1 | -0.6 | | |
| July | 51,009 | 14,587 | 16,444 | 82,040 | 0.3 | 2.1 | -0.9 | 0.4 | | |
| August | 51,683 | 14,698 | 17,206 | 83,587 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 1.9 | | |
| September | 51,682 | 15,926 | 17,085 | 84,693 | -0.0 | 8.4 | -0.7 | 1.3 | | |
| October | 48,696 | 13,976 | 16,306 | 78,978 | -5.8 | -12.2 | -4.6 | -6.7 | | |
| November | 50,195 | 13,948 | 16,568 | 80,711 | 3.1 | -0.2 | 1.6 | 2.2 | | |
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Trend | | |
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2004 | September | 48,964 | 15,094 | 16,051 | 80,109 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | | |
| October | 49,474 | 15,233 | 16,175 | 80,882 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | | |
| November | 50,031 | 15,407 | 16,254 | 81,692 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | | |
| December | 50,558 | 15,593 | 16,295 | 82,446 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | | |
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2005 | January | 50,973 | 15,689 | 16,311 | 82,973 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | | |
| February | 51,202 | 15,653 | 16,319 | 83,174 | 0.4 | -0.2 | +0.0 | 0.2 | | |
| March | 51,280 | 15,448 | 16,334 | 83,062 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 0.1 | -0.1 | | |
| April | 51,293 | 15,166 | 16,409 | 82,868 | +0.0 | -1.8 | 0.5 | -0.2 | | |
| May | 51,248 | 14,899 | 16,525 | 82,672 | -0.1 | -1.8 | 0.7 | -0.2 | | |
| June | 51,145 | 14,715 | 16,647 | 82,507 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 0.7 | -0.2 | | |
| July | 51,060 | 14,654 | 16,754 | 82,468 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 0.6 | -0.0 | | |
| August | 50,950 | 14,655 | 16,787 | 82,392 | -0.2 | +0.0 | 0.2 | -0.1 | | |
| September | 50,702 | 14,617 | 16,766 | 82,085 | -0.5 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.4 | | |
| October | 50,387 | 14,531 | 16,713 | 81,631 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.6 | | |
| November | 50,097 | 14,423 | 16,671 | 81,191 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.3 | -0.5 | | |
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Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
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| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. | |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | |
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Original | |
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2004 | September | 25,241 | 20,821 | 17,188 | 5,289 | 8,177 | 1,855 | 739 | 1,142 | 80,452 | |
| October | 25,621 | 22,747 | 16,079 | 5,413 | 7,875 | 1,981 | 709 | 1,242 | 81,667 | |
| November | 26,619 | 23,052 | 17,117 | 5,450 | 8,157 | 1,944 | 694 | 1,302 | 84,335 | |
| December | 24,315 | 21,700 | 16,537 | 4,998 | 7,341 | 2,245 | 647 | 1,197 | 78,980 | |
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2005 | January | 22,467 | 18,015 | 14,530 | 4,466 | 6,931 | 1,478 | 560 | 1,118 | 69,565 | |
| February | 25,754 | 20,580 | 17,837 | 5,489 | 7,880 | 1,431 | 776 | 1,262 | 81,009 | |
| March | 27,474 | 21,963 | 19,114 | 5,452 | 8,623 | 1,571 | 888 | 1,341 | 86,426 | |
| April | 24,329 | 19,497 | 16,789 | 5,034 | 7,329 | 1,371 | 858 | 1,123 | 76,330 | |
| May | 26,204 | 21,882 | 18,221 | 5,534 | 8,066 | 1,639 | 912 | 1,272 | 83,730 | |
| June | 30,695 | 25,402 | 24,613 | 6,561 | 9,986 | 2,052 | 1,183 | 1,415 | 101,907 | |
| July | 24,905 | 19,923 | 17,559 | 4,794 | 7,684 | 1,435 | 764 | 1,235 | 78,299 | |
| August | 26,292 | 22,552 | 19,330 | 5,458 | 8,714 | 1,689 | 751 | 1,393 | 86,179 | |
| September | 25,457 | 22,044 | 18,344 | 5,243 | 9,125 | 2,151 | 793 | 1,283 | 84,440 | |
| October | 22,949 | 20,289 | 16,026 | 5,030 | 8,349 | 1,655 | 659 | 1,161 | 76,118 | |
| November | 25,716 | 22,428 | 17,181 | 5,500 | 9,107 | 1,667 | 690 | 1,249 | 83,538 | |
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Seasonally adjusted | |
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2004 | September | 25,423 | 20,641 | 17,175 | 5,375 | 8,176 | 1,740 | 782 | 1,206 | 80,518 | |
| October | 26,008 | 23,405 | 17,599 | 5,657 | 7,975 | 1,950 | 784 | 1,263 | 84,641 | |
| November | 25,728 | 21,521 | 17,263 | 5,273 | 8,066 | 1,696 | 725 | 1,257 | 81,529 | |
| December | 24,771 | 20,983 | 16,713 | 4,738 | 7,115 | 1,671 | 692 | 1,152 | 77,835 | |
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2005 | January | 27,341 | 22,593 | 18,097 | 5,605 | 8,388 | 1,843 | 751 | 1,323 | 85,941 | |
| February | 27,441 | 21,612 | 18,418 | 5,650 | 8,139 | 1,712 | 860 | 1,338 | 85,170 | |
| March | 26,169 | 20,982 | 17,485 | 5,341 | 7,710 | 1,759 | 781 | 1,370 | 81,597 | |
| April | 25,991 | 21,212 | 18,521 | 5,422 | 8,258 | 1,593 | 785 | 1,134 | 82,916 | |
| May | 25,372 | 21,385 | 18,240 | 5,411 | 8,125 | 1,667 | 790 | 1,230 | 82,220 | |
| June | 24,893 | 21,285 | 18,540 | 5,241 | 7,937 | 1,796 | 855 | 1,200 | 81,747 | |
| July | 25,302 | 21,207 | 18,223 | 5,146 | 8,426 | 1,619 | 819 | 1,298 | 82,040 | |
| August | 25,907 | 21,714 | 18,225 | 5,237 | 8,743 | 1,631 | 812 | 1,318 | 83,587 | |
| September | 26,084 | 21,657 | 18,463 | 5,307 | 9,001 | 2,025 | 839 | 1,317 | 84,693 | |
| October | 23,390 | 20,716 | 17,474 | 5,238 | 8,635 | 1,611 | 724 | 1,190 | 78,978 | |
| November | 24,354 | 21,309 | 17,407 | 5,327 | 8,907 | 1,453 | 723 | 1,231 | 80,711 | |
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Trend | |
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2004 | September | 25,363 | 20,746 | 17,178 | 5,342 | 7,867 | 1,669 | 748 | 1,196 | 80,109 | |
| October | 25,557 | 21,095 | 17,260 | 5,365 | 7,942 | 1,705 | 746 | 1,212 | 80,882 | |
| November | 25,852 | 21,407 | 17,357 | 5,382 | 7,975 | 1,732 | 748 | 1,239 | 81,692 | |
| December | 26,192 | 21,600 | 17,499 | 5,400 | 7,991 | 1,743 | 754 | 1,267 | 82,446 | |
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2005 | January | 26,442 | 21,648 | 17,686 | 5,420 | 7,993 | 1,738 | 763 | 1,283 | 82,973 | |
| February | 26,486 | 21,573 | 17,896 | 5,437 | 7,995 | 1,728 | 777 | 1,282 | 83,174 | |
| March | 26,312 | 21,446 | 18,090 | 5,437 | 8,006 | 1,711 | 792 | 1,268 | 83,062 | |
| April | 26,048 | 21,346 | 18,254 | 5,410 | 8,050 | 1,697 | 807 | 1,256 | 82,868 | |
| May | 25,765 | 21,306 | 18,360 | 5,353 | 8,130 | 1,691 | 818 | 1,249 | 82,672 | |
| June | 25,514 | 21,318 | 18,373 | 5,286 | 8,254 | 1,692 | 821 | 1,249 | 82,507 | |
| July | 25,354 | 21,363 | 18,315 | 5,249 | 8,418 | 1,694 | 818 | 1,257 | 82,468 | |
| August | 25,220 | 21,379 | 18,200 | 5,245 | 8,588 | 1,686 | 807 | 1,267 | 82,392 | |
| September | 25,010 | 21,344 | 18,025 | 5,250 | 8,732 | 1,663 | 791 | 1,270 | 82,085 | |
| October | 24,750 | 21,288 | 17,825 | 5,258 | 8,841 | 1,632 | 772 | 1,265 | 81,631 | |
| November | 24,508 | 21,226 | 17,653 | 5,276 | 8,937 | 1,591 | 750 | 1,250 | 81,191 | |
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(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. | |
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